theHaslams.com
The SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic - A Utah Perspective
April 4, 2021
The infection rate in Utah decreased a little bit this week, Seven-day average dropped from 419 new cases per day to 397.
Where we go from here largely depends on (1) continued good behavior (SPRING BREAK), (2) increased vaccinations, and (3) little influence from the SARS-CoV-2 mutations
The seven day average of the number of Covid-19 deaths
Deaths finally dropped in a meaningful way.
Data on the progress of vaccination in Utah
The total nummber fully vaccinated rose more rapidly from 14.9% to 17.6% of the population. That's the best increase yet
Unused doeses rose to almost 240,000 which helps support the a busy month in April.
Most Recent Week
April 4, 2021

The virus in Asia is still a big problem in India and the Phillippines. Both countries are experiencing an elevated spread. In Europe, France continues to be in a major outbreak. They recorded an increase of 131,075 cases last week over the prior week. Elsewhere in Europe there were decreases or minor increases in activity. In South America the virus is very active in Brazil with 463,235 new cases.

The number of cases in the United States ROSE again. The nation recorded 449,667 new cases. This represents an increase from the prior week of 70,174 cases. Only 12 states including Utah saw a decrease from the prior week. This suggests that there is still strength in this pandemic. States hard-hit currently includes Florida, Michigan, New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Connecticut. The increasing number of vaccinations is starting to retard the spread of the virus and yet the virus is winning.

New cases in Utah dropped a bit with the 7-day moving average dropping from 419 to 397. Utah was one of 12 states with a decrease this week. I expect a move up after SPRING BREAK is over on April 11. The same thing can be expected in many states.

Meanwhile, on the vaccination front, in Utah the 7-day moving average of injections was better reaching 33,000 doses administered per day. As expected April is going to be quite busy, followed by a significant drop in May. Utah will not each a level of 50% vaccinated UNLESS we do more work convincing people that the vaccine in worthwhile.

The Data for This Week:
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
ASIA                      
China 1,433,783,686 108,829 101,664 7,165 153 7,012 0.01% 4,841 4,841 0 4.45%
India 1,366,417,754 12,953,597 11,971,624 981,973 240,082 741,891 0.95% 164,623 161,552 3,071 1.27%
Japan 126,860,301 485,175 468,291 16,884 8,963 7,921 0.38% 9,210 9,050 160 1.90%
Philippenes 108,116,615 795,051 721,892 73,159 42,296 30,863 0.74% 13,425 13,170 255 1.69%
Viet Nam 96,462,106 2,631 2,591 40 18 22 0.00% 35 35 0 1.33%
Thailand 69,625,582 29,127 28,734 393 667 -274 0.04% 95 94 1 0.33%
S. Korea 51,225,308 105,279 101,757 3,522 3,030 492 0.21% 1,744 1,722 22 1.66%
Taiwan 23,773,876 1,047 1,022 25 21 4 0.00% 10 10 0 0.96%
Hong Kong 7,436,154 11,508 11,446 62 98 -36 0.15% 205 205 0 1.78%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
EUROPE                      
Russia 145,961,031 4,528,576 4,469,327 59249 65650 -6,401 3.10% 98,713 93,457 5,256 2.18%
Germany 83,517,045 2,850,174 2,784,528 65,646 91,076 -25,430 3.41% 77,021 74,715 2,306 2.70%
U.K. 67,530,172 4,373,798 4,347,010 26,788 38,461 -11,673 6.48% 127,078 126,393 685 2.91%
France 65,129,728 4,883,174 4,606,185 276,989 145,914 131,075 7.50% 96,808 92,119 4,689 1.98%
Italy 60,550,075 3,668,264 3,532,067 136,197 153,234 -17,037 6.06% 111,030 104,942 6,088 3.03%
Spain 46,692,858 3,300,965 3,255,324 45,641 28,628 17,013 7.07% 75,698 72,910 2,788 2.29%
Greece 10,473,455 275,414 254,031 21,383 15,978 5,405 2.63% 8,380 7,462 918 3.04%
Sweden 10,036,379 813,191 780,018 33,173 31,745 1,428 8.10% 13,498 13,262 236 1.66%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
AMERICAS                      
U.S.A 329,064,917 30,703,999 30,254,332 449,667 379,493 70,174 9.33% 554,992 542,246 12,746 1.81%
Argentina 44,780,677 2,383,537 2,301,389 82,148 49,114 33,034 5.32% 56,106 54,517 1,589 2.35%
Canada 37,411,047 1,008,808 968,087 40,721 23,958 16,763 2.70% 23,060 22,654 406 2.29%
Brazil 212,559,417 12,953,597 12,490,362 463,235 510,901 -47,666 6.09% 330,193 292,752 37,441 2.55%
                       
OTHER                      
Iran 82,913,906 1,932,074 1,855,674 76,400 54,112 22,288 2.33% 63,160 61,797 1,363 3.27%
Turkey 83,809,754 3,487,050 3,208,173 278,877 133,732 145,145 4.16% 32,263 30,061 2,202 0.93%
Australia 25,203,198 29,348 29,260 88 79 9 0.12% 909 909 0 3.10%
New Zeland 4,886,000 2,507 2,482 25 30 -5 0.05% 26 26 0 1.04%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
California 39,512,223 3,675,292 3,640,037 35,255 18,155 17,100 9.30% 59,614 57,470 2,144 1.62%
Texas 28,995,881 2,801,734 2,753,012 48,722 27,394 21,328 9.66% 48,695 47,346 1,349 1.74%
Florida 21,477,737 2,081,826 2,008,349 73,477 31,690 41,787 9.69% 33,674 32,742 932 1.62%
New York 19,453,561 1,905,737 1,782,769 122,968 41,406 81,562 9.80% 50,633 49,426 1,207 2.66%
Pennsylvania 12,801,989 1,043,524 988,656 54,868 20,397 34,471 8.15% 25,173 24,796 377 2.41%
Illinois 12,671,821 1,256,533 1,221,775 34,758 12,531 22,227 9.92% 23,654 23,357 297 1.88%
Ohio 11,689,100 1,024,011 999,750 24,261 10,559 13,702 8.76% 18,643 18,339 304 1.82%
Georgia 10,617,423 1,064,654 1,044,134 20,520 10,348 10,172 10.03% 19,212 18,530 682 1.80%
North Carolina 10,488,084 916,959 895,263 21,696 12,548 9,148 8.74% 12,136 11,820 316 1.32%
Michigan 9,986,857 768,892 691,070 77,822 20,982 56,840 7.70% 17,259 16,906 353 2.24%
New Jersey 8,882,190 927,195 865,886 61,309 28,025 33,284 10.44% 24,637 24,174 463 2.66%
Virginia 8,535,519 625,148 604,604 20,544 9,869 10,675 7.32% 10,329 10,117 212 1.65%
Washington 7,614,893 368,403 354,782 13,621 5,357 8,264 4.84% 5,278 5,174 104 1.43%
Arizona 7,278,717 844,302 835,765 8,537 3,671 4,866 11.60% 16,990 16,733 257 2.01%
Massachusetts 6,949,503 643,232 612,857 30,375 10,549 19,826 9.26% 17,281 16,832 449 2.69%
Tennessee 6,833,174 813,614 798,621 14,993 8,969 6,024 11.91% 11,915 11,709 206 1.46%
Indiana 6,733,174 690,910 677,905 13,005 5,361 7,644 10.26% 13,074 12,646 428 1.89%
Missouri 6,137,428 584,185 575,214 8,971 4,257 4,714 9.52% 8,896 8,717 179 1.52%
Maryland 6,045,680 417,329 400,023 17,306 6,582 10,724 6.90% 8,350 8,170 180 2.00%
Wisconsin 5,822,434 639,227 629,407 9,820 4,122 5,698 10.98% 7,340 7,240 100 1.15%
Colorado 5,758,736 466,901 449,878 17,023 7,125 9,898 8.11% 6,126 6,068 58 1.31%
Minnesota 5,639,632 526,267 505,224 21,043 7,832 13,211 9.33% 6,953 6,850 103 1.32%
South Carolina 5,148,714 555,274 533,421 21,853 0 21,853 10.78% 9,196 8,875 321 1.66%
Alabama 4,903,185 516,809 511,460 5,349 7,787 -2,438 10.43% 10,637 10,436 201 2.06%
Louisiana 4,648,794 445,469 439,737 5,732 2,344 3,388 9.58% 10,161 9,988 173 2.28%
Kentucky 4,467,794 429,106 420,512 8,594 4,247 4,347 9.60% 6,149 5,720 429 1.43%
Oregon 4,217,737 166,882 161,531 5,351 2,129 3,222 3.96% 2,392 2,363 29 1.43%
Oklahoma 3,956,971 439,149 434,491 4,658 2,008 2,650 11.10% 4,953 4,788 165 1.13%
Connecticut 3,565,287 313,956 305,210 8,746 6,114 2,632 #REF! 7,904 7,832 72 #REF!
Utah 3,205,958 387,341 384,562 2,779 3,250 -471 12.08% 2,114 2,062 52 0.55%
Iowa 3,155,070 353,280 349,627 3,653 2,934 719 11.20% 5,822 5,675 147 1.65%
Nevada 3,080,156 305,407 303,861 1,546 1,891 -345 9.92% 5,274 5,172 102 1.73%
Arkansas 3,017,825 331,054 329,929 1,125 1,604 -479 10.97% 5,643 5,533 110 1.70%
Mississippi 2,976,149 306,088 304,616 1,472 2,057 -585 10.28% 7,055 6,956 99 2.30%
Kansas 2,913,314 304,429 302,988 1,441 1,524 -83 10.45% 4,889 4,798 91 1.61%
New Mexico 2,096,829 192,152 190,887 1,265 1,393 -128 9.16% 3,949 3,889 60 2.06%
Nebraska 1,934,408 211,812 208,424 3,388 1,750 1,638 10.95% 2,181 2,135 46 1.03%
West Virginia 1,792,147 143,156 140,613 2,543 2,358 185 7.99% 2,695 2,606 89 1.88%
Idaho 1,787,147 181,181 179,428 1,753 2,164 -411 10.14% 1,966 1,941 25 1.09%
Hawaii 1,415,872 31,241 29,712 1,529 545 984 2.21% 467 452 15 1.49%
New Hampshire 1,359,711 85,846 82,745 3,101 1,701 1,400 6.31% 1,249 1,217 32 1.45%
Maine 1,344,212 51,765 49,850 1,915 1,432 483 3.85% 745 729 16 1.44%
Montana 1,068,778 105,142 104,128 1,014 1,300 -286 9.84% 1,436 1,414 22 1.37%
Rhode Island 1,059,361 138,255 135,775 2,480 2,537 -57 13.05% 2,608 2,595 13 1.89%
Delaware 973,764 96,376 94,062 2,314 1,906 408 9.90% 1,566 1,529 37 1.62%
South Dakota 884,659 118,861 117,244 1,617 1,166 451 13.44% 1,938 1,923 15 1.63%
North Dakota 762,062 103,638 102,583 1,055 2,084 -1,029 13.60% 1,498 1,492 6 1.45%
Alaska 731,545 63,501 62,161 1,340 879 461 8.68% 313 310 3 0.49%
Vermont 623,989 20,149 18,820 1,329 850 479 3.23% 229 219 10 1.14%
Wyoming 578,759 56,447 56,046 401 418 -17 9.75% 700 693 7 1.24%
©2021 Reed B. Haslam All rights reserved