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The SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic - A Utah Perspective
April 25, 2021
The seven day average of new cases of Covid-19 in Utah.
There were a couple of bumps upward this week, but nothing you could call a breakout. 
The seven day average of the number of Covid-19 deaths
Surprisingly deaths climbed to 18 this week from 5 last week. I can' think of a reason why this would happen.
Data on the progress of vaccination in Utah

The fully vaccinated among those 18+ climbed to 38.5% from 35.0%, showing a clear decline in upward momentum.
The seven-day average of the number of injections declined from 27,781 last week to 20,252. This is the kind of drop I expected in May.
The state will have to reduce the number of doses being ordered to prevent a real glut of doses on hand. Currently, 304,322 doses are available, near the record high.

 

Most Recent Week
April 25, 2021

In Utah vaccination moves forward, but clearly declined from the prior week. The 50% level is in sight, but may be difficult to reach. The case count has plateaued just below 390 cases per week. The death count sumped from 5 the prior week to 13 this week.

In Asia, the situation in India is rather scary with 2,3 million new cases. Even at this very high rate, it will take India 6.5 weeks to catch the total of the United States (31.6 million) and the U.S. has a population that is 1/4th that of India. Thailand is in the midst of an outbreak with 13,000 new cases last week. Even China showed a minor bli- up last week. The Phillippines however did improve some;

In Europe, case counts were down again across the board. France continued its dramatic improvement. That's two weeks in a row that all of Europe has improved.

The number of cases in the United States dropped this week to 395,000 cases (56,570/day) down 86,000 from the prior week. Thirty-nine of the fifty states had a decrease in case counts (including Utah). The worst seems over in Michigan as case counts there dropped for the second week. Those where cases rose significantly included: Tennessee Indiana, and Missouri (adjusted).

The Data for This Week:
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
ASIA                      
China 1,433,783,686 102,373 102,235 138 -605 743 0.01% 4,845 4,845 0 4.73%
India 1,366,417,754 16,960,172 14,008,659 2,951,513 563,653 2,387,860 1.24% 192,311 177,150 15,161 1.13%
Japan 126,860,301 568,584 532,641 35,943 26,404 9,539 0.45% 9,936 9,599 337 1.75%
Philippenes 108,116,615 997,523 936,133 61,390 71,265 -9,875 0.92% 16,783 15,960 823 1.68%
Viet Nam 96,462,106 2,843 2,781 62 88 -26 0.00% 35 35 0 1.23%
Thailand 69,625,582 55,460 42,352 13,108 9,727 3,381 0.08% 140 101 39 0.25%
S. Korea 51,225,308 114,115 114,115 0 4,556 -4,556 0.22% 1,797 1,797 0 1.57%
Taiwan 23,773,876 1,100 1,073 27 16 11 0.00% 12 11 1 1.09%
Hong Kong 7,436,154 11,683 11,683 0 102 -102 0.16% 209 209 0 1.79%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
EUROPE                      
Russia 145,961,031 4,708,640 4,649,044 59,596 59835 -239 3.23% 106,434 103,834 2,600 2.26%
Germany 83,517,045 3,298,608 3,155,522 143,086 143,557 -471 3.95% 81,625 79,974 1,651 2.47%
U.K. 67,530,172 4,420,443 4,403,058 17,385 18,448 -1,063 6.55% 127,681 127,518 163 2.89%
France 65,129,728 5,534,789 5,350,520 184,269 230,935 -46,666 8.50% 102,873 100,892 1,981 1.86%
Italy 60,550,075 3,962,674 3,870,131 92,543 100,317 -7,774 6.54% 119,238 116,927 2,311 3.01%
Spain 46,692,858 3,468,617 3,407,283 61,334 59,771 1,563 7.43% 77,591 76,981 610 2.24%
Greece 10,473,455 333,129 315,273 17,856 19,793 -1,937 3.18% 10,007 9,462 545 3.00%
Sweden 10,036,379 938,343 901,138 37,205 43,737 -6,532 9.35% 13,923 13,788 135 1.48%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
AMERICAS                      
U.S.A 329,064,917 32,059,293 31,663,304 395,989 482,044 -86,055 9.74% 572,039 567,180 4,859 1.78%
Argentina 44,780,677 2,845,872 2,677,747 168,125 160,447 7,678 6.36% 61,474 59,164 2,310 2.16%
Canada 37,411,047 1,183,528 1,125,299 58,229 61,046 -2,817 3.16% 23,931 23,605 326 2.02%
Brazil 212,559,417 14,308,215 13,900,091 408,124 455,085 -46,961 6.73% 389,472 371,678 17,794 2.72%
                       
OTHER                      
Iran 82,913,906 2,396,204 2,237,089 159,115 166,948 -7,833 2.89% 69,574 66,732 2,842 2.90%
Turkey 83,809,754 4,629,969 4,268,447 361,522 419,436 -57,914 5.52% 38,358 35,926 2,432 0.83%
Australia 25,203,198 29,666 29,519 147 114 33 0.12% 910 910 0 3.07%
New Zeland 4,886,000 2,601 2,595 6 21 -15 0.05% 26 26 0 1.00%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
California 39,512,223 3,730,915 3,717,352 13,563 19,192 -5,629 9.44% 61,467 61,033 434 1.65%
Texas 28,995,881 2,872,852 2,849,972 22,880 24,297 -1,417 9.91% 49,921 49,595 326 1.74%
Florida 21,477,737 2,203,913 2,168,901 35,012 44,833 -9,821 10.26% 34,812 34,439 373 1.58%
New York 19,453,561 2,031,093 1,998,912 32,181 44,959 -12,778 10.44% 52,003 51,579 424 2.56%
Pennsylvania 12,801,989 1,134,742 1,107,673 27,069 33,749 -6,680 8.86% 25,967 25,665 302 2.29%
Illinois 12,671,821 1,318,887 1,302,134 16,753 22,469 -5,716 10.41% 24,139 23,955 184 1.83%
Ohio 11,689,100 1,063,433 1,053,175 10,258 15,575 -5,317 9.10% 19,122 18,991 131 1.80%
Georgia 10,617,423 1,092,852 1,084,272 8,580 11,572 -2,992 10.29% 19,973 19,758 215 1.83%
North Carolina 10,488,084 956,932 943,693 13,239 14,287 -1,048 9.12% 12,523 12,387 136 1.31%
Michigan 9,986,857 911,800 873,700 38,100 53,296 -15,196 9.13% 18,409 17,934 475 2.02%
New Jersey 8,882,190 997,891 978,853 19,038 25,763 -6,725 11.23% 25,380 25,143 237 2.54%
Virginia 8,535,519 654,210 646,133 8,077 10,551 -2,474 7.66% 10,691 10,581 110 1.63%
Washington 7,614,893 395,312 385,549 9,763 9,319 444 5.19% 5,434 5,380 54 1.37%
Arizona 7,278,717 858,076 853,050 5,026 4,029 997 11.79% 17,268 17,151 117 2.01%
Massachusetts 6,949,503 681,570 671,250 10,320 13,672 -3,352 9.81% 17,544 17,455 89 2.57%
Tennessee 6,833,174 841,049 830,484 10,565 8,399 2,166 12.31% 12,142 12,049 93 1.44%
Indiana 6,733,174 713,959 708,067 5,892 9,375 -3,483 10.60% 13,274 13,224 50 1.86%
Missouri 6,137,428 588,478 583,903 4,575 -4,646 9,221 9.59% 9,073 9,009 64 1.54%
Maryland 6,045,680 443,257 436,028 7,229 9,308 -2,079 7.33% 8,661 8,562 99 1.95%
Wisconsin 5,822,434 656,061 651,545 4,516 6,644 -2,128 11.27% 7,474 7,420 54 1.14%
Colorado 5,758,736 500,675 489,028 11,647 11,585 62 8.69% 6,249 6,188 61 1.25%
Minnesota 5,639,632 568,243 556,381 11,862 14,328 -2,466 10.08% 7,157 7,098 59 1.26%
South Carolina 5,148,714 574,985 569,279 5,706 6,588 -882 11.17% 9,430 9,336 94 1.64%
Alabama 4,903,185 526,131 522,401 3,730 3,502 228 10.65% 10,851 10,790 61 2.06%
Louisiana 4,648,794 455,541 451,955 3,586 3,117 469 9.80% 10,336 10,282 54 2.27%
Kentucky 4,467,794 440,631 437,312 3,319 4,592 -1,273 9.86% 6,436 6,338 98 1.46%
Oregon 4,217,737 179,130 175,121 4,009 5,036 -1,027 4.25% 2,485 2,460 25 1.39%
Oklahoma 3,956,971 446,530 444,863 1,667 2,058 -391 11.28% 6,716 6,697 19 1.50%
Connecticut 3,565,287 334,766 329,062 5,704 7,476 -1,772 9.39% 8,047 7,995 52 2.40%
Utah 3,205,958 395,150 392,757 2,393 2,653 -260 12.33% 2,182 2,164 18 0.55%
Iowa 3,155,070 362,901 360,016 2,885 3,123 -238 11.50% 5,927 5,881 46 1.63%
Nevada 3,080,156 312,840 310,235 2,605 2,211 394 10.16% 5,422 5,365 57 1.73%
Arkansas 3,017,825 334,642 333,407 1,235 1,354 -119 11.09% 5,718 5,693 25 1.71%
Mississippi 2,976,149 310,349 309,186 1,163 1,854 -691 10.43% 7,175 7,153 22 2.31%
Kansas 2,913,314 308,883 307,407 1,476 1,634 -158 10.60% 4,924 4,909 15 1.59%
New Mexico 2,096,829 196,732 194,868 1,864 1,500 364 9.38% 4,024 4,001 23 2.05%
Nebraska 1,934,408 218,732 216,473 2,259 2,266 -7 11.31% 2,242 2,213 29 1.02%
West Virginia 1,792,147 151,382 148,887 2,495 2,718 -223 8.45% 2,821 2,785 36 1.86%
Idaho 1,787,147 186,123 184,769 1,354 1,616 -262 10.41% 2,031 2,017 14 1.09%
Hawaii 1,415,872 33,229 32,647 582 672 -90 2.35% 478 474 4 1.44%
New Hampshire 1,359,711 93,542 91,279 2,263 2,833 -570 6.88% 1,284 1,266 18 1.37%
Maine 1,344,212 59,776 57,285 2,491 3,325 -834 4.45% 772 765 7 1.29%
Montana 1,068,778 108,997 107,145 1,852 962 890 10.20% 1,563 1,546 17 1.43%
Rhode Island 1,059,361 146,324 144,149 2,175 3,052 -877 13.81% 2,660 2,647 13 1.82%
Delaware 973,764 103,332 101,158 2,174 2,588 -414 10.61% 1,616 1,602 14 1.56%
South Dakota 884,659 121,986 121,056 930 1,351 -421 13.79% 1,958 1,953 5 1.61%
North Dakota 762,062 106,668 105,754 914 1,009 -95 14.00% 1,517 1,510 7 1.42%
Alaska 731,545 67,059 65,121 1,938 339 1,599 9.17% 334 334 0 0.50%
Vermont 623,989 22,576 22,016 560 814 -254 3.62% 244 242 2 1.08%
Wyoming 578,759 57,696 57,267 429 394 35 9.97% 705 703 2 1.22%
    31,872,833   389,903   38   568,581   4,864  
                       
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