SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic

theHaslams.com
The SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic - A Utah Perspective

Report for June 5, 2022

Publication Note:

Reports Added during June 2022

June 2022 update on the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. The data is from June 5, 2022, as as sourced from Johns Hopkins University.

The weekly seven day average of new cases of Covid-19 in Utah

The Omicron BA.2.* variants continued to raise case numbers in Utah during May. Case counts grew from 242 per day on April 28 to 818 per day on June 3 . This mini-surge may peak soon. Its duration has already exceeded my expectations.

The weekly seven day average of Covid-19 deaths in Utah.

The death rate in Utah remains at about 1 per day (7 per week).

Most Recent Month

***SARS-Cov-2 - Pandemic***

*** Focus on Utah ***

The 7-day average new case rate climbed from 242 on April 28 to 818 on June 3 (the highest since 1046 on February 18). Utah only reports numbers on Thursdays. The unknown is how many positive home tests were not reported to the Utah Department of Health. The death rate has dropped to just 1 per day. We are experiencing the surge associated with the Omicron BA.2.* varriants at this time. We may be close to a peak for this mini-surge.

*** Focus on the United States ***

This month I analyzed the United States by individual state. One thing is very clear, death rates have dropped to very low levels given all of the tools we have to defeat SARS-CoV-2. For some reason some of the states with the highest spread of the virus are still in New England.

The five states with the highest infection rates for the full pandemic are:

State	Percentage
Rhode Island	35.9%
Alaska	35.7%
North Dakota	31.5%
Kentucky	30.2%
Tennessee	29.8%

The top five remained the same, however Rhode Island took the #1 spot from Alaska.

Utah stayed in 7th place on this list at 29.1%. .

The five states with the lowest infection rate for the full pandemic are:

State	Percentage
Maryland	18.1%
Oregon	18.2%
Maine	19.4%
Hawaii	19.4%
Vermont	20.6%

Maryland leaped over Oregon for first place. Maine leaped over Hawaii for third place.

The five states with the highest infection rates during the last 5 weeks are:

State	Percent
Hawaii	2.4%
Rhode Island	2.1%
Michigan	1.8%
Virginia	1.17%
Massachusetts	1.7%

Surprised to see Hawaii at the top. Rhode Island and Michigan have always been poor. New Egland was worst in this category at the last report and there are still two states from that region on this list.

The five states with the lowest infection rates for the last 5 weeks are:

State	Percentage
South Dakota	0.29%
Arkansas	0.33%
Oklahoma	0.33%
Wyoming	0.33%
Idaho	0.37%

Many of these states had huge case counts earlier in the pandemic. This supports the concept that IF you had no concern about how many would die or have life long lasting health defecits, the best course would have been to let the virus run free.

States with the highest death rates (full pandemic) are:

State	Percentage
Pennsylvania	1.54%
Mississippi	1.54%
Oklahoma	1.53%%
Georgia	1.49%
Nevada	1.58%

States with the lowest death rates for the full pandemic.

State	Percentage
Alaska	0.49%
Utah	0.50%
Vermont	0.50%
Hawaii	0.52%
New Hampshire	0.78%

Alaska returned to the top spot just nudging out Utah. There is a significant gap between fourth and fifth place.

States with the highest death rate for the past 5 weeks.

State	Percentage
Idaho	10.83%
Kansas	2.53%
New Mexico	2.12%
Oklahoma	1.75%
Kentucky	0.1.38%

States with the lowest death rates for the last 2 months:

State	Percentage
Hawaii	0.11%
Utah	0.15%
Rhode Island	0.19%
Texas	0.19%
Mississippi	0.20%

*** Focus on the World ***

During the past 5 weeks Taiwan formerly a country with a low infection rate, blew up with 94% of all their infections occurring in the past 5 weeks. Japan continued to be high as well. The Chinese made major downward revisions to their data -- really? Their numbers can't be trusted. While South Korea got better but as a whole, their full pandemic infection rate is very high at 35%. India whose numbers I don't trust looked stellar. The rest of the Asian countries I follow were much better.

In Europe, Germany and France and Italy remained a bit elevated, otherwise, the area was looking good.

In Australia, where the virus spread went up the prior month, the spread remained elevated. Going into their winter suggests it may remain high for some time.

Data for June 5, 2022

Country	2010 Population	Total Infected Count	Overall Infection Rate	Total Infected 5 weeks ago	Infected last 5 weeks	Infection Rate Last 5 weeks	Total Deaths	Overall Death Rate	Total Deaths 5 weeks ago	Deaths last 5 weeks	Death Rate Last 5 weeks
ASIA
China	1,433,783,686	2,099,838	0.15%	2,206,646	-106,808	-0.01%	14,373	0.68%	14,613	-240	0.22%
India	1,366,417,754	43,176,817	3.16%	43,079,188	97,629	0.01%	524,692	1.22%	523,843	849	0.87%
Japan	126,860,301	8,918,979	7.03%	7,871,248	1,047,731	0.83%	30,733	0.34%	29,567	1,166	0.11%
Philippines	108,116,615	3,691,546	3.41%	3,685,895	5,651	0.01%	60,456	1.64%	60,397	59	1.04%
Viet Nam	96,462,106	10,725,239	11.12%	10,653,526	71,713	0.07%	43,080	0.40%	43,042	38	0.05%
Thailand	69,625,582	4,466,793	6.42%	4,262,484	204,309	0.29%	30,171	0.68%	28,617	1,554	0.76%
S. Korea	51,225,308	18,163,686	35.46%	17,275,649	888,037	1.73%	24,258	0.13%	22,875	1,383	0.16%
Taiwan	23,773,876	2,404,871	10.12%	132,995	2,271,876	9.56%	2,939	0.12%	865	2,074	0.09%
Hong Kong	NA
Country	Population	Total Infected Count	Overall Infection Rate	Total Infected 5 weeks ago	Infected last 5 weeks	Infection Rate Last 5 weeks	Total Deaths	Overall Death Rate	Total Deaths 5 weeks ago	Deaths last 5 weeks	Death Rate Last 5 weeks
EUROPE
Russia	145,961,031	18,083,984	12.39%	17,924,145	159,839	0.11%	371,854	2.06%	368,463	3,391	2.12%
Germany	83,517,045	26,493,265	31.72%	24,809,785	1,683,480	2.02%	139,386	0.53%	135,461	3,925	0.23%
U.K.	67,530,172	22,493,328	33.31%	22,214,004	279,324	0.41%	179,415	0.80%	175,552	3,863	1.38%
France	65,129,728	29,813,848	45.78%	28,835,895	977,953	1.50%	149,506	0.50%	146,967	2,539	0.26%
Italy	60,550,075	17,505,973	28.91%	16,463,200	1,042,773	1.72%	166,949	0.95%	163,507	3,442	0.33%
Spain	46,692,858	12,403,245	26.56%	11,833,457	569,788	1.22%	106,797	0.86%	104,227	2,570	0.45%
Greece	10,473,455	3,470,640	33.14%	3,328,623	142,017	1.36%	29,913	0.86%	29,175	738	0.52%
Sweden	10,036,379	2,509,366	25.00%	2,455,966	53,400	0.53%	19,014	0.76%	17,512	1,502	2.81%
Country	Population	Total Infected Count	Overall Infection Rate	Total Infected 5 weeks ago	Infected last 5 weeks	Infection Rate Last 5 weeks	Total Deaths	Overall Death Rate	Total Deaths 5 weeks ago	Deaths last 5 weeks	Death Rate Last 5 weeks
AMERICAS
U.S.A	329,064,917	84,748,884	25.75%	81,358,011	3,390,873	1.03%	1,008,567	1.19%	993,717	14,850	0.44%
Canada	37,411,047	3,897,965	10.42%	3,332,608	565,357	1.51%	41,356	1.06%	36,978	4,378	0.77%
Brazil	212,559,417	31,137,479	14.65%	30,448,236	689,243	0.32%	666,971	2.14%	663,736	3,235	0.47%
										0
Middle East										0
Iran	82,913,906	7,232,711	8.72%	7,222,308	10,403	0.01%	141,331	1.95%	141,096	235	2.26%
Turkey	83,809,754	15,072,747	17.98%	15,032,093	40,654	0.05%	98,965	0.66%	98,771	194	0.48%
					0					0
Other					0					0
Australia	25,203,198	7,426,673	29.47%	5,960,844	1,465,829	5.82%	8,752	0.12%	7,231	1,521	0.10%

UNITED STATES
State	2010 Population	Total Infected Count	Overall Infection Rate	Total Infected 5 weeks ago	Infected last 5 weeks	Infection Rate Last 5 weeks	Total Deaths	Overall Death Rate	Total Deaths 5 weeks ago	Deaths last 5 weeks	Death Rate Last 5 weeks
California	39,538,223	9,661,436	24.44%	9,236,835	424,601	1.07%	91,502	0.95%	90,329	1,173	0.28%
Texas	29,145,605	6,974,280	23.93%	6,825,834	148,446	0.51%	88,390	1.27%	88,107	283	0.19%
Florida	21,538,187	6,240,440	28.97%	5,942,723	297,717	1.38%	74,667	1.20%	73,948	719	0.24%
New York	20,201,249	5,466,873	27.06%	5,168,268	298,605	1.48%	69,124	1.26%	68,344	780	0.26%
Pennsylvania	13,002,700	2,932,186	22.55%	2,821,667	110,519	0.85%	45,254	1.54%	44,678	576	0.52%
Illinois	12,812,508	3,318,982	25.90%	3,138,682	180,300	1.41%	38,188	1.15%	36,047	2,141	1.19%
Ohio	11,799,448	2,780,653	23.57%	2,697,058	83,595	0.71%	38,657	1.39%	38,428	229	0.27%
Georgia	10,711,908	2,571,104	24.00%	2,515,139	55,965	0.52%	38,242	1.49%	37,806	436	0.78%
North Carolina	10,439,388	2,772,730	26.56%	2,659,255	113,475	1.09%	24,660	0.89%	23,405	1,255	1.11%
Michigan	10,077,331	2,547,366	25.28%	2,365,827	181,539	1.80%	36,407	1.43%	34,871	1,536	0.85%
New Jersey	9,288,994	2,415,000	26.00%	2,263,991	151,009	1.63%	33,764	1.40%	33,430	334	0.22%
Virginia	8,631,393	1,797,700	20.83%	1,645,791	151,909	1.76%	20,424	1.14%	18,955	1,469	0.97%
Washington	7,708,281	1,591,654	20.65%	1,498,116	93,538	1.21%	12,968	0.81%	12,703	265	0.28%
Arizona	7,151,502	2,062,669	28.84%	2,021,524	41,145	0.58%	30,332	1.47%	29,951	381	0.93%
Massachusetts	7,029,917	1,879,917	26.74%	1,757,103	122,814	1.75%	20,663	1.10%	20,263	400	0.33%
Tennessee	6,910,840	2,062,239	29.84%	2,027,967	34,272	0.50%	26,490	1.28%	26,166	324	0.95%
Indiana	6,785,528	1,738,843	25.63%	1,702,292	36,551	0.54%	23,740	1.37%	23,587	153	0.42%
Missouri	6,137,428	1,469,893	23.95%	1,421,350	48,543	0.79%	20,807	1.42%	20,211	596	1.23%
Maryland	6,045,680	1,095,903	18.13%	1,031,533	64,370	1.06%	14,629	1.33%	14,456	173	0.27%
Wisconsin	5,893,718	1,683,264	28.56%	1,610,601	72,663	1.23%	14,639	0.87%	14,413	226	0.31%
Colorado	5,773,714	1,454,881	25.20%	1,383,024	71,857	1.24%	12,567	0.86%	12,150	417	0.58%
Minnesota	5,706,494	1,515,724	26.56%	1,452,547	63,177	1.11%	12,974	0.86%	12,778	196	0.31%
South Carolina	5,118,425	1,504,967	29.40%	1,474,274	30,693	0.60%	17,907	1.19%	17,767	140	0.46%
Louisiana	4,657,757	1,196,190	25.68%	1,173,297	22,893	0.49%	17,341	1.45%	17,248	93	0.41%
State	2010 Population	Total Infected Count	Overall Infection Rate	Total Infected 5 weeks ago	Infected last 5 weeks	Infection Rate Last 5 weeks	Total Deaths	Overall Death Rate	Total Deaths 5 weeks ago	Deaths last 5 weeks	Death Rate Last 5 weeks
Kentucky	4,505,836	1,361,744	30.22%	1,328,111	33,633	0.75%	15,987	1.17%	15,523	464	1.38%
Oregon	4,237,256	770,193	18.18%	721,311	48,882	1.15%	7,657	0.99%	7,502	155	0.32%
Oklahoma	3,956,971	1,053,558	26.63%	1,040,405	13,153	0.33%	16,127	1.53%	15,897	230	1.75%
Connecticut	3,605,944	811,932	22.52%	758,281	53,651	1.49%	10,973	1.35%	10,850	123	0.23%
Utah	3,271,616	954,707	29.18%	932,253	22,454	0.69%	4,781	0.50%	4,747	34	0.15%
Iowa	3,190,369	780,019	24.45%	763,782	16,237	0.51%	9,602	1.23%	9,529	73	0.45%
Nevada	3,104,614	735,631	23.69%	712,287	23,344	0.75%	10,896	1.48%	10,752	144	0.62%
Arkansas	3,011,524	845,647	28.08%	835,857	9,790	0.33%	11,498	1.36%	11,389	109	1.11%
Mississippi	2,961,279	810,484	27.37%	797,575	12,909	0.44%	12,470	1.54%	12,444	26	0.20%
Kansas	2,937,880	789,859	26.89%	776,481	13,378	0.46%	8,973	1.14%	8,635	338	2.53%
New Mexico	2,117,522	538,629	25.44%	522,329	16,300	0.77%	7,825	1.45%	7,479	346	2.12%
Nebraska	1,961,504	488,110	24.88%	479,989	8,121	0.41%	4,294	0.88%	4,197	97	1.19%
Idaho	1,839,106	452,918	24.63%	446,040	6,878	0.37%	4,942	1.09%	4,197	745	10.83%
West Virginia	1,793,716	518,061	28.88%	501,204	16,857	0.94%	6,974	1.35%	6,856	118	0.70%
Hawaii	1,455,271	282,619	19.42%	248,405	34,214	2.35%	1,457	0.52%	1,418	39	0.11%
New Hampshire	1,377,529	326,610	23.71%	309,982	16,628	1.21%	2,543	0.78%	2,480	63	0.38%
Maine	1,362,359	264,366	19.41%	245,080	19,286	1.42%	2,382	0.90%	2,286	96	0.50%
Rhode Island	1,097,379	394,573	35.96%	371,629	22,944	2.09%	3,583	0.91%	3,540	43	0.19%
Montana	1,084,225	277,497	25.59%	273,282	4,215	0.39%	3,400	1.23%	3,360	40	0.95%
Delaware	989,948	277,666	28.05%	262,461	15,205	1.54%	2,961	1.07%	2,907	54	0.36%
South Dakota	886,667	240,357	27.11%	237,812	2,545	0.29%	2,928	1.22%	2,912	16	0.63%
North Dakota	779,094	245,476	31.51%	241,127	4,349	0.56%	2,283	0.93%	2,268	15	0.34%
Alaska	733,391	262,071	35.73%	253,002	9,069	1.24%	1,285	0.49%	1,252	33	0.36%
Vermont	643,077	132,676	20.63%	123,842	8,834	1.37%	670	0.50%	637	33	0.37%
Wyoming	576,851	158,472	27.47%	156,550	1,922	0.33%	1,820	1.15%	1,812	8	0.42%

June 2, 2022

On Thursday, June 2, 2022, the Utah department of health announced 5,728 new cases reported during the past seven days. That's an average of 818 cases per day just slightly higher than the prior week. This may indicate we are near the peak of this mini-surge.

June 9, 2022

The count for the last week jumped higher to 1072 per day, significantly higher than 818 per day reported last week. Deaths are still low but jumped from 1 to 2 per day.

This is the highest infection rate since February 11, 2022.

June 16, 2022

For the first time in 14 weeks, the new case count in Utah decreased from 1072 cases per day to 932 cases per day. Perhaps this signals that the current mini-surge has peaked. Deaths remain at about 2 per day.