Pandemic 2020 - The SARS-Cov 2 Virus

theHaslams.com
The Great Pandemic of 2020 - A Utah Perspective

July 12, 2020

With the 7-day average above 600 and the last 4 days over 700 its time for a new stay at home order.

Questions that Need Answers

Why has it been so difficult for the United States to do broad-based testing. South Korea was successful in limiting the spread by doing braod-based testing. We supported their security for over 50 years. If asked they would have shared their success with us.
Why has there been so little international cooperation on defeating this virus?
Other than high population density why has New York/New Jersey been so poor in controlling the spread in those states?
How many lives were lost due to the lack of cooperation among Americans at practicing social distancing?

Tracking the COVID-19 Pandemic

Data is aggregated from Johns Hopkins University into Table Format for Presentation

Computations used here:

Infection rate = total people infected / population
Death rate = total died / total infected

Basic Facts

DISCLAIMER: While I am not an epidemiologist I do love what you can learn from statistics.

Formal Virus Name: SARS-Cov-2 - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - Corona Virus #2
Common Virus Name: Novel (New) Corona Virus now spelled Coronavirus
Disease caused by the Novel Corona Virus: COVID-19
First Appeared: Wuhan China - December 2019
Everyone is going to get it. FALSE! The country with the highest infection level is Italy and the total number of cases there is 0.07% (as of March 20) and 0.22% (as of April 7). Spain now has the highest infection percentage at 0.22% as of April7.
Most outrageous statement by any U.S. Politician: Governor Newsom of California said 56% of his state would be infected. That would be about 22 million people. Three weeks after his statement, the state has 0.01% of its citizens infected I can promise you that will not happen. So far California is a shining example to the nation with a 0.04% infection rate (April 7).
The U.S. will know before April 5th if our actions to limit the spread have worked or not. Until then keep doing your part to limit the spread. The quick ramp at this point DOES NOT MEAN our efforts are failing. So April 5 was a bit early to see infection rates role over. As of April 8 we are still waiting for conclusive evidence.
On April 7 Dr. anthony Fauci, the leading epidimeologist for the U.S. government has complemented Utah effort at social distancing,even though our infection rate is at 0.06%, somewhat above California's rate.
Based on the data I am seeing, this virus does not like HOT weather! Examples: Neither Hong Kong nor Thailand, Taiwan, or Arizona have suffered an explosion in cases
I was surprised to learn that the United States has the third highest population of all countries on earth behind China 1.4 billion and India 1.3 billion.

May 15, 2020 : Bulletin : Moving to weekly statistical updates

From here forward this web site will update once per week. While South America and India are still ramping higher much of the rest of the world is quite or quieting down. Most states in the U.S. have a new infection count that has rolled over. Notable exceptions are California, Illinois, Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, and Wyoming.

After 8 weeks of quarantine, it seems like many are simply throwing their hands in the air and saying, enough is enough people need to get back to work. We "hope" that can be done wisely without a second wave showing up.

By looking at much of Asia you can clearly see better days are ahead. Furhter hotter temperatures in the Northern hemisphere will reduce (but not eliminate) transmissions of SARS-Cov-2.

For sure there will be periodic outbreaks. Maybe we can snuff out many of those events. What happens in the fall? Some say SARS-Cov-2 comes back with a vengeance, while others point to the fact that its cousin viruses did not do that. Time will tell.

I do believe by fall there will be other successful treatments for Covid-19 beyond Remdesivir. Several companies are already in clinical trials on humans with vaccines, many of them fell confident that they have a successful vaccine in their hands. It would be remarkable if we had a vaccine, but early 2021 does not seem out of the realm of possibility.

Weekly Summary Section

Country	Population	Infected Total	Infected Prior Day	Infected Today	% of population Infected	Dead Total	Dead Prior Day	Died Today	% of Infected Dead	Rolled Over
ASIA
China	1,433,783,686	83,956	83,940	16	0.01%	4,637	4,637	0	5.52%	Y
India	1,366,417,754	34,863	33,062	1,801	0.00%	1154	1079	75	3.31%	N
Japan	126,860,301	14,088	13,895	193	0.01%	430	413	17	3.05%	Maybe
Philippenes	108,116,615	8,488	8,212	276	0.01%	568	558	10	6.69%	Y
Viet Nam	96,462,106	270	270	0	0.00%	0	0	0	0.00%	Y
Thailand	69,625,582	2,954	2,947	7	0.00%	54	54	0	1.83%	Y
S. Korea	51,225,308	10,774	10,761	13	0.02%	248	246	2	2.30%	Y
Taiwan	23,773,876	429	429	0	0.00%	6	6	0	1.40%	Y
Hong Kong	7,436,154	1,037	1,037	0	0.01%	4	4	0	0.39%	Y

Country	Population	Infected Total	Infected Prior Day	Infected Today	% of population Infected	Dead Total	Dead Prior Day	Died Today	% of Infected Dead
EUROPE
Germany	83,517,045	163,009	161,539	1,470	0.20%	6,467	6,467	0	3.97%	Y
U.K.	67,530,172	172,481	166,441	6,040	0.26%	26,842	21,745	5097	15.56%	N
France	65,129,728	167,299	166,543	756	0.26%	24,410	24,121	289	14.59%	Y
Italy	60,550,075	205,463	203,591	1,872	0.34%	27,957	27,682	275	13.61%	Y
Spain	46,692,858	213,435	236,899	-23,464	0.46%	24,543	24,275	268	11.50%	Y
Greece	10,473,455	2,591	2,576	15	0.02%	140	139	1	5.40%	Y
Sweden	10,036,379	21,092	20,302	790	0.21%	2586	2462	124	12.26%	N

Country	Population	Infected Total	Infected Prior Day	Infected Today	% of population Infected	Dead Total	Dead Prior Day	Died Today	% of Infected Dead
AMERICAS
U.S.A	329,064,917	1,069,424	1,038,451	30,973	0.32%	62,996	60,876	2,120	5.89%	Y
Argentina	44,780,677	4,428	4,285	143	0.01%	218	207	11	4.92%	N
Canada	37,411,047	54,457	52,831	1,626	0.15%	3310	3152	158	6.08%	Y

OTHER
Iran	82,913,906	94,640	93,657	983	0.11%	6,028	5,957	71	6.37%	Y
Australia	25,203,198	6,766	6,752	14	0.03%	93	91	2	1.37%	Y

Country	Population	Infected Total	Infected Prior Day	Infected Today	% of population Infected	Dead Total	Dead Prior Day	Died Today	% of Infected Dead
U.S. States
California	39,512,223	50,130	48,328	1,802	0.13%	2,031	1,939	92	4.05%	N
Texas	28,995,881	28,727	26,923	1,804	0.10%	812	743	69	2.83%	Maybe
Florida	21,477,737	33,690	33,193	497	0.16%	1,268	1,218	50	3.76%	Y
New York	19,453,561	304,372	299,691	4,681	1.56%	23,587	23,477	110	7.75%	Y
Illinois	12,671,821	52,918	50,358	2,560	0.42%	2,355	2,215	140	4.45%	N
Michigan	9,986,857	41,379	40,399	980	0.41%	3,789	3,670	119	9.16%	Y
New Jersey	8,882,190	118,652	116,365	2,287	1.34%	7,228	6,771	457	6.09%	y
Washington	7,614,893	14,327	14,070	257	0.19%	814	801	13	5.68%	Y
Mass	6,949,503	62,205	60,265	1,940	0.90%	3,405	3,405	0	5.47%	Maybe
Arizona	7,278,717	7,655	7,209	446	0.11%	320	308	12	4.18%	N
Colorado	5,758,736	15,284	14,316	968	0.27%	777	736	41	5.08%	Maybe
Louisiana	4,648,794	28,001	27,660	341	0.60%	1,905	1,801	104	6.80%	Y
Utah	3,205,958	4,672	4,497	175	0.15%	46	45	1	0.98%	N
New Mexico	2,096,829	3,411	3,212	199	0.16%	112	112	0	3.28%	N
Idaho	1,787,147	1,984	1,952	32	0.11%	63	60	3	3.18%	Y
Wyoming	578,759	559	545	14	0.10%	7	7	0	1.25%	N

Hawaii		618				16			2.59%