Also see Weekly data for Utah.
The answer now seems to be both. It is a pandemic because it covers the whole earth. It is endemic becasue we can't seem to be able to get rid of it. As we have learned mutations of this virus continue to occur because the number of available people to infect is large.
During the last 28-day period new infections in Utah decreased by 2% and the number of deaths decreased 4%. That ranked Utah 23rd among all states based on the spread of the virus. Utah's death rate remains 0.59%, still second best in the U.S. behind Alaska at 0.58%. The only other state with a death rate below 1% is Vermont (0.79%). Utah's health care system while over oaded is performing very well. That said, the death rate in Utah over the past 28 days have was 0.67% (only 10th best in the U.S.)
Because of a low vaccination rate (56%), the virus continues its spread with little resistance. At this point 18.7% of Utahns have contacted the virus, just 5 states have a higher infection rate. This indicates just how miserable Utah has been at limiting the spread of the virus. The state with the highest infection rate in North Dakota at 21.6%.
Assuming that vaccinations are durable forever and that having been infected offers lifetime immunity (neither of which I believe) Utah will reach 85% (herd immunity) infected or vaccinated by September 2023 (at the current rate of infection). This also assumes that Utah's vaccination rate does not improve significantly.
The United States has done an exceptionally poor job at defeating this virus. The country has logged 49,052,458 cases amounting to 14.9% of the population. The U.K. is a bit worse at 15.5%, Germany is at 7.4%.
Using a broad brush, southern states where the speed was bad during the summer are now showing the least speed , while New England states and Great Lakes states are showing rather dramatic rises in the spread of the virus.
The states with the biggest increase in cases over the past 28-days include :
- Rhode Island up 128%
- Missouri up 102%
- Massachusetts up 96%
- Illinois up 94%
- Connecticut up 85%
- Hawaii down 75%
- Arizona down 68%
- Alabama down 56%
- Idaho down 55%
- Alaska down 52%
Utah was 27th best with a 2% decrease. Last month Michigan and Minnesota were notably getting worse. The rate of increase slowed this past month but the number of new infections was high. Michigan had the highest new case count at 207,670 cases while Minnesota had 111,923 new cases.
Things are bad in Europe, particularly the United Kingdom and Germany. Their neighbors were also not doing well. France, Spain, and Italy also had elevated infection counts. Until recently Germany had done very well controlling the spread. Both countries had over 1 million new infections in the past 28 days. Canada has also shown a significant rise in cases.
Japan is in a good spot right now with only 9,523 new cases in the past 28 days. India and Thailand showed significant drops, while Vietnam and Taiwan showed a huge increase. Taiwan has had minimal cases, so it was easy for it to show a large percentage jump. Their infection count is 0.07%, which is totally remarkable. Australia is enjoying the summer weather down under.
| Country | Population | Infected Current Count | Overall Infection Rate | Infected last 28 days | Infection Rate last 28 days | Infected Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods | Total Deaths | Overall Death Rate | Deaths Last 28 Days | Death Rate Last 28 days | Deaths Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods |
| ASIA | |||||||||||||||
| China | 1,433,783,686 | 110,179 | 0.01% | 1442 | 0.00% | 1,342 | 100 | 7.5% | 4,849 | 4.40% | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| India | 1,366,417,754 | 34,355,509 | 2.51% | 402034 | 0.03% | 825,230 | -423,196 | -51.3% | 460,791 | 1.34% | 10,202 | 2.54% | 8,284 | -1,918 | -23.2% |
| Japan | 126,860,301 | 1,723,924 | 1.36% | 9523 | 0.01% | 142,482 | -132,959 | -93.3% | 18,306 | 1.06% | 379 | 3.98% | 1,391 | 1,012 | 72.8% |
| Philippines | 108,116,615 | 2,803,213 | 2.59% | 146171 | 0.14% | 519,089 | -372,918 | -71.8% | 44,430 | 1.58% | 4,734 | 3.24% | 4,594 | -140 | -3.0% |
| Viet Nam | 96,462,106 | 968,684 | 1.00% | 124904 | 0.13% | 292,032 | -167,128 | -57.2% | 22,531 | 2.33% | 2,028 | 1.62% | 6,808 | 4,780 | 70.2% |
| Thailand | 69,625,582 | 1,967,999 | 2.83% | 259972 | 0.37% | 361,522 | -101,550 | -28.1% | 19,664 | 1.00% | 2,004 | 0.77% | 4,306 | 2,302 | 53.5% |
| S. Korea | 51,225,308 | 379,935 | 0.74% | 48416 | 0.09% | 57,701 | -9,285 | -16.1% | 2,967 | 0.78% | 392 | 0.81% | 186 | -206 | -110.8% |
| Taiwan | 23,773,876 | 16,442 | 0.07% | 151 | 0.00% | 231 | -80 | -34.6% | 847 | 5.15% | 1 | 0.66% | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Hong Kong | NA | ||||||||||||||
| Country | Population | Infected Current Count | Overall Infection Rate | Infected last 28 days | Infection Rate last 28 days | Infected Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods | Total Deaths | Overall Death Rate | Deaths Last 28 Days | Death Rate Last 28 days | Deaths Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods |
| EUROPE | |||||||||||||||
| Russia | 145,961,031 | 8,651,561 | 5.93% | 982,499 | 0.67% | 555,576 | 426,923 | 76.8% | 242,241 | 2.80% | 29,468 | 3.00% | 22,180 | -7,288 | -32.9% |
| Germany | 83,517,045 | 4,780,569 | 5.72% | 474,026 | 0.57% | 240,685 | 233,341 | 96.9% | 96,531 | 2.02% | 2,323 | 0.49% | 1,439 | -884 | -61.4% |
| U.K. | 67,530,172 | 9,346,958 | 13.84% | 142,236 | 0.21% | 934,096 | -791,860 | -84.8% | 142,236 | 1.52% | 4,073 | 2.86% | 3,810 | -263 | -6.9% |
| France | 65,129,728 | 7,319,526 | 11.24% | 158,958 | 0.24% | 205,550 | -46,592 | -22.7% | 118,866 | 1.62% | 940 | 0.59% | 2,226 | 1286 | 57.8% |
| Italy | 60,550,075 | 4,808,047 | 7.94% | 104,187 | 0.17% | 112,941 | -8,754 | -7.8% | 132,391 | 2.75% | 1,091 | 1.05% | 1,532 | 441 | 28.8% |
| Spain | 46,692,858 | 50,025,639 | 107.14% | 52,020 | 0.11% | 83,373 | -31,353 | -37.6% | 87,504 | 0.17% | 726 | 1.40% | 1,668 | 942 | 56.5% |
| Greece | 10,473,455 | 784,904 | 7.49% | 105,142 | 1.00% | 61,499 | 43,643 | 71.0% | 16,295 | 2.08% | 1,138 | 1.08% | 1,046 | -92 | -8.8% |
| Sweden | 10,036,379 | 1,153,655 | 11.49% | 23,130 | 0.23% | 19,272 | 3,858 | 20.0% | 15,057 | 1.31% | 152 | 0.66% | 176 | 24 | 13.6% |
| Country | Population | Infected Current Count | Overall Infection Rate | Infected last 28 days | Infection Rate last 28 days | Infected Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods | Total Deaths | Overall Death Rate | Deaths Last 28 Days | Death Rate Last 28 days | Deaths Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods |
| AMERICAS | |||||||||||||||
| U.S.A | 329,064,917 | 46,482,837 | 14.13% | 1,158,137 | 0.35% | 3,658,765 | -2,500,628 | -68.3% | 754,395 | 1.62% | 40,289 | 3.48% | 52,269 | 11980 | 22.9% |
| Canada | 37,411,047 | 1,738,543 | 4.65% | 71,940 | 0.19% | 118,277 | -46,337 | -39.2% | 29,203 | 1.68% | 946 | 1.31% | 927 | -19 | -2.0% |
| Brazil | 212,559,417 | 21,874,324 | 10.29% | 307,143 | 0.14% | 581,253 | -274,110 | -47.2% | 609,388 | 2.79% | 8,559 | 2.79% | 14,361 | 5802 | 40.4% |
| Middle East | |||||||||||||||
| Iran | 82,913,906 | 5,987,814 | 7.22% | 288,626 | 0.35% | 519,089 | -230,463 | -44.4% | 127,299 | 2.13% | 4,803 | 1.66% | 10,816 | 6013 | 55.6% |
| Turkey | 83,809,754 | 8,233,649 | 9.82% | 790,193 | 0.94% | 702,867 | 87,326 | 12.4% | 72,127 | 0.88% | 5,943 | 0.75% | 6,403 | 460 | 7.2% |
| Other | |||||||||||||||
| Australia | 25,203,198 | 180,307 | 0.72% | 52,843 | 0.21% | 49,769 | 3,074 | 6.2% | 1,334 | 0.74% | 383 | 0.72% | 295 | -88 | -29.8% |
| UNITED STATES | |||||||||||||||
| State | Population | Infected Current Count | Overall Infection Rate | Infected last 28 days | Infection Rate last 28 days | Infected Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods | Total Deaths | Overall Death Rate | Deaths Last 28 Days | Death Rate Last 28 days | Deaths Prior 28 Days | Change 28 day Periods | % Change 28 day Periods |
| Florida | 21,477,737 | 3,701,310 | 17.23% | 56,020 | 0.26% | 267,655 | -211,635 | -79% | 60,334 | 1.63% | 3,667 | 6.55% | 8975 | 5,308 | 59.1% |
| Kentucky | 4,467,794 | 750,985 | 16.81% | 40,621 | 0.91% | 182,985 | -142,364 | -78% | 9,939 | 1.32% | 886 | 2.18% | 959 | 73 | 7.6% |
| Tennessee | 6,833,174 | 1,286,713 | 18.83% | 37,380 | 0.55% | 160,695 | -123,315 | -77% | 16,500 | 1.28% | 951 | 2.54% | 1576 | 625 | 39.7% |
| Georgia | 10,617,423 | 1,641,036 | 15.46% | 38,369 | 0.36% | 148,349 | -109,980 | -74% | 29,483 | 1.80% | 2,341 | 6.10% | 3122 | 781 | 25.0% |
| South Carolina | 5,148,714 | 902,372 | 17.53% | 28,316 | 0.55% | 107,991 | -79,675 | -74% | 13,841 | 1.53% | 912 | 3.22% | 1789 | 877 | 49.0% |
| Mississippi | 2,976,149 | 506,556 | 17.02% | 12,285 | 0.41% | 42,353 | -30,068 | -71% | 10,148 | 2.00% | 337 | 2.74% | 1106 | 769 | 69.5% |
| Louisiana | 4,648,794 | 761,849 | 16.39% | 14,520 | 0.31% | 45,006 | -30,486 | -68% | 14,615 | 1.92% | 442 | 3.04% | 1281 | 839 | 65.5% |
| Texas | 28,995,881 | 4,260,852 | 14.69% | 130,847 | 0.45% | 382,281 | -251,434 | -66% | 71,957 | 1.69% | 4,928 | 3.77% | 7513 | 2,585 | 34.4% |
| Alabama | 4,903,185 | 836,032 | 17.05% | 28,261 | 0.58% | 80,520 | -52,259 | -65% | 15,384 | 1.84% | 977 | 3.46% | 2055 | 1,078 | 52.5% |
| Arkansas | 3,017,825 | 515,979 | 17.10% | 13,547 | 0.45% | 34,853 | -21,306 | -61% | 8,483 | 1.64% | 652 | 4.81% | 686 | 34 | 5.0% |
| North Carolina | 10,488,084 | 1,489,653 | 14.20% | 64,591 | 0.62% | 162,824 | -98,233 | -60% | 18,251 | 1.23% | 1,147 | 1.78% | 1897 | 750 | 39.5% |
| Oklahoma | 3,956,971 | 648,209 | 16.38% | 25,429 | 0.64% | 54,367 | -28,938 | -53% | 10,879 | 1.68% | 1,666 | 6.55% | 948 | -718 | -75.7% |
| Virginia | 8,535,519 | 933,542 | 10.94% | 45,363 | 0.53% | 91,161 | -45,798 | -50% | 14,125 | 1.51% | 1,050 | 2.31% | 907 | -143 | -15.8% |
| Indiana | 6,733,174 | 1,030,291 | 15.30% | 47,874 | 0.71% | 92,502 | -44,628 | -48% | 16,898 | 1.64% | 916 | 1.91% | 1116 | 200 | 17.9% |
| West Virginia | 1,792,147 | 277,814 | 15.50% | 25,066 | 1.40% | 47,187 | -22,121 | -47% | 4,518 | 1.63% | 583 | 2.33% | 598 | 15 | 2.5% |
| Missouri | 6,137,428 | 867,812 | 14.14% | 28,726 | 0.47% | 53,826 | -25,100 | -47% | 12,704 | 1.46% | 523 | 1.82% | 877 | 354 | 40.4% |
| Ohio | 11,689,100 | 1,572,197 | 13.45% | 105,902 | 0.91% | 178,663 | -72,761 | -41% | 25,067 | 1.59% | 913 | 0.86% | 769 | -144 | -18.7% |
| Nevada | 3,080,156 | 443,641 | 14.40% | 17,234 | 0.56% | 27,734 | -10,500 | -38% | 7,712 | 1.74% | 428 | 2.48% | 583 | 155 | 26.6% |
| New Jersey | 8,882,190 | 1,159,632 | 13.06% | 35,896 | 0.40% | 57,404 | -21,508 | -37% | 23,975 | 2.07% | 1,273 | 3.55% | 523 | -750 | -143.4% |
| Oregon | 4,217,737 | 372,137 | 8.82% | 31,024 | 0.74% | 47,836 | -16,812 | -35% | 4,652 | 1.25% | 580 | 1.87% | 543 | -37 | -6.8% |
| Kansas | 2,913,314 | 441,137 | 15.14% | 22,734 | 0.78% | 34,082 | -11,348 | -33% | 6,498 | 1.47% | 368 | 1.62% | 437 | 69 | 15.8% |
| Delaware | 973,764 | 145,612 | 14.95% | 8,324 | 0.85% | 12,473 | -4,149 | -33% | 2,119 | 1.46% | 27 | 0.32% | 81 | 54 | 66.7% |
| Illinois | 12,671,821 | 1,712,986 | 13.52% | 62,878 | 0.50% | 92,540 | -29,662 | -32% | 28,381 | 1.66% | 724 | 1.15% | 950 | 226 | 23.8% |
| Maryland | 6,045,680 | 566,082 | 9.36% | 22,469 | 0.37% | 32,928 | -10,459 | -32% | 10,974 | 1.94% | 382 | 1.70% | 413 | 31 | 7.5% |
| Connecticut | 3,565,287 | 404,969 | 11.36% | 10,961 | 0.31% | 15,931 | -4,970 | -31% | 8,790 | 2.17% | 123 | 1.12% | 256 | 133 | 52.0% |
| Washington | 7,614,893 | 737,698 | 9.69% | 59,703 | 0.78% | 85,420 | -25,717 | -30% | 8,798 | 1.19% | 776 | 1.30% | 1074 | 298 | 27.7% |
| California | 39,512,223 | 4,960,710 | 12.55% | 164,797 | 0.42% | 230,023 | -65,226 | -28% | 72,525 | 1.46% | 2,913 | 1.77% | 2859 | -54 | -1.9% |
| Rhode Island | 1,059,361 | 181,079 | 17.09% | 6,509 | 0.61% | 8,977 | -2,468 | -27% | 2,881 | 1.59% | 27 | 0.41% | 65 | 38 | 58.5% |
| Iowa | 3,155,070 | 494,407 | 15.67% | 33,055 | 1.05% | 44,002 | -10,947 | -25% | 7,069 | 1.43% | 415 | 1.26% | 256 | -159 | -62.1% |
| Wyoming | 578,759 | 105,318 | 18.20% | 11,015 | 1.90% | 13,963 | -2,948 | -21% | 1,243 | 1.18% | 202 | 1.83% | 138 | -64 | -46.4% |
| South Dakota | 884,659 | 156,995 | 17.75% | 9,175 | 1.04% | 11,619 | -2,444 | -21% | 2,267 | 1.44% | 96 | 1.05% | 71 | -25 | -35.2% |
| Massachusetts | 6,949,503 | 861,480 | 12.40% | 37,995 | 0.55% | 48,015 | -10,020 | -21% | 19,087 | 2.22% | 341 | 0.90% | 361 | 20 | 5.5% |
| New York | 19,453,561 | 2,585,365 | 13.29% | 110,706 | 0.57% | 138,406 | -27,700 | -20% | 56,692 | 2.19% | 987 | 0.89% | 1056 | 69 | 6.5% |
| Idaho | 1,787,147 | 296,299 | 16.58% | 27,845 | 1.56% | 34,468 | -6,623 | -19% | 3,646 | 1.23% | 524 | 1.88% | 585 | 61 | 10.4% |
| Alaska | 731,545 | 142,118 | 19.43% | 20,770 | 2.84% | 25,061 | -4,291 | -17% | 741 | 0.52% | 149 | 0.72% | 130 | -19 | -14.6% |
| Wisconsin | 5,822,434 | 899,647 | 15.45% | 64,590 | 1.11% | 72,952 | -8,362 | -11% | 9,542 | 1.06% | 536 | 0.83% | 380 | -156 | -41.1% |
| Nebraska | 1,934,408 | 289,282 | 14.95% | 17,732 | 0.92% | 19,759 | -2,027 | -10% | 3,001 | 1.04% | 146 | 0.82% | 80 | -66 | -82.5% |
| Pennsylvania | 12,801,989 | 1,593,122 | 12.44% | 114,915 | 0.90% | 122,431 | -7,516 | -6% | 31,897 | 2.00% | 1,990 | 1.73% | 1108 | -882 | -79.6% |
| Maine | 1,344,212 | 107,772 | 8.02% | 12,824 | 0.95% | 13,399 | -575 | -4% | 1,207 | 1.12% | 132 | 1.03% | 187 | 55 | 29.4% |
| Arizona | 7,278,717 | 1,189,708 | 16.35% | 70,058 | 0.96% | 72,808 | -2,750 | -4% | 21,409 | 1.80% | 1,058 | 1.51% | 1137 | 79 | 6.9% |
| Montana | 1,068,778 | 180,452 | 16.88% | 21,772 | 2.04% | 22,518 | -746 | -3% | 2,415 | 1.34% | 336 | 1.54% | 206 | -130 | -63.1% |
| North Dakota | 762,062 | 151,840 | 19.92% | 13,966 | 1.83% | 14,125 | -159 | -1% | 1,827 | 1.20% | 151 | 1.08% | 59 | -92 | -155.9% |
| Utah | 3,205,958 | 560,604 | 17.49% | 40,414 | 1.26% | 40,780 | -366 | -1% | 3,286 | 0.59% | 292 | 0.72% | 285 | -7 | -2.5% |
| Hawaii | 1,415,872 | 79,851 | 5.64% | 13,073 | 0.92% | 13,073 | 0 | 0% | 801 | 1.00% | 187 | 1.43% | 187 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Vermont | 623,989 | 42,313 | 6.78% | 6,449 | 1.03% | 5,197 | 1,252 | 24% | 384 | 0.91% | 49 | 0.76% | 40 | -9 | -22.5% |
| New Hampshire | 1,359,711 | 139,324 | 10.25% | 15,116 | 1.11% | 12,050 | 3,066 | 25% | 1,597 | 1.15% | 100 | 0.66% | 55 | -45 | -81.8% |
| New Mexico | 2,096,829 | 282,742 | 13.48% | 23,799 | 1.13% | 18,425 | 5,374 | 29% | 4,518 | 1.60% | 244 | 1.03% | 260 | 16 | 6.2% |
| Minnesota | 5,639,632 | 815,008 | 14.45% | 79,362 | 1.41% | 59,372 | 19,990 | 34% | 8,952 | 1.10% | 544 | 0.69% | 336 | -208 | -61.9% |
| Michigan | 9,986,857 | 1,309,655 | 13.11% | 120,965 | 1.21% | 88,456 | 32,509 | 37% | 23,975 | 1.83% | 1,273 | 1.05% | 767 | -506 | -66.0% |
| Colorado | 5,758,736 | 760,543 | 13.21% | 71,988 | 1.25% | 51,173 | 20,815 | 41% | 8,407 | 1.11% | 674 | 0.94% | 400 | -274 | -68.5% |
So goes SARS-CoV-2 infections in Utah.
The average daily count for the last 3 weeks is steady at around 1,550 cases per day. It feels like Covid-19 is on autopilot and still finding good rides.
We are approaching the level where 1 in every 5 Utahn's has been infected.
The death rate (one of the best in America) is steady at 0.59%, meaning among those infected about 1 in every 170 infected by SARS-CoV-2 dies.
While most of the United States fell dramatically between September and October, Utah did not. The low was 1280 cases the week ending October 15 and the high was 1572 cases the week of September 17.
We are approaching the level where 1 in every 5 Utahn's has been infected.
The death rate (one of the best in America) is steady at 0.59%, meaning among those infected about 1 in every 170 infected by SARS-CoV-2 dies.
Cases in Utah's public schools total 19,773. Up from 17,791 two weeks ago. That's about 1,000 per week, which is down a bit from the prior rate.
We hit a new peak for our third wave this past week with 11,422 new Covid-19 cases for a daily average of 1632. Ok, that is just over 500 more cases than the prior week, but it is a new peak for our third wave.
As the air is again COLD and more people are staying indoors, we are suffering more cases. Apparently, an 85% vaccination rate is required to really drop the spread. Utah is just under 60% when considering only those five years and older.
The count of cases associated with our public schools is 22,083 up from 19,773 which includes a person in my own neighborhood.
With Thanksgiving coming up I think we need to expect a greater number of infections over the next few weeks, but nothing like we saw a year ago when only people in the vaccine trials were vaccinated.
If you are not vaccinated, please offer a scientifically valid reason why not. I was quite young when the polio vaccine was first available. I remember going to the drive-in movie to get a sugar cube with the vaccine in it. The line was long, but most people got in line for the vaccine.
The new infection count fell from 11,422 to 9,201. The number of deaths fell from 81 to 59.
The new infection count fell from 11,422 to 9,201. The number of deaths fell from 81 to 59.
When we get next week's data I think we will see compensation for the missing data this week.