For three weeks now the new case count 7-day average has monotonically decreased. Wonderful progression lower.
Where we go from here largely depends on (1) continued good behavior, (2) increased vaccinations, and (3) little influence from the SARS-CoV-2 mutationsDeaths remain elevated. Some deaths are weeks old. Some people may be cooking the books to get more federal dollars.
So sad if it is true.
Most Recent WeekFebruary 21, 2021
The countries with the most Novel Corona Virus infections (raw numbers not population adjusted)
United States 28.1 million up 493,000 but down from 639,000 in the prior week.
India 11.0 million up 86,000, little changed.
Brazil 10.1 million up 329,000 up some.
United Kingdom 4.1 million up 77,000, but down from 97,000 the prior week
Russia 4.1 million up 91,000 down slightly.
France 3.6 million up 129,999 and up from 72,000 the prior week
Spain 3.1 million up 77,000 but down from 114,000 the prior week.
Italy 2.8 million up 77,0000 but down from 85,100 the prior week
Turkey 2.63 million up 52,000 little changed from the prior week
Germany 2.4 million up 52,700, little changed from the prior week.
In Asia, both Japan and Thailand are a bit better, while Viet Nam continues a noticeable trend upward.
In Europe, things were pretty good. All European countries on my list have worse death rates than the United States.
The U.S. averaged 70,500 cases per day down from 91,300 cases per day the prior week. Deaths remained HIGH in the U.S. surprisingly high.
The U.S. infection rate is 8.55%. If there is a country with a higher rate, that country is not one that I follow.
Meanwhile, the U.S. death rate stands at 1.77%. It is the lowest of all countries outside Asia (and New Zealand) that I follow.
The states showing the most rapid increases in the past week - Iowa 30,266 cases and Vermont.
The best and worst states in the U.S.:
States with infection rates over 11%: North Dakota (13.0%), South Dakota (12.6%),Rhode Island (11.6%), Utah (11.4%), Iown (11.4%), Arizona (11.1%), Tennessee(11.1%)
States with infection rates above 10%: Wisconsin(10.5%), Oklahoma (10.65)Arkansas (10.5%), Nebraska(10.3%), Kansas (10.0%)
States with infection rates under 5%: Washington 4.3%, Oregon (3.6%), Maine (3.1%) Vermont(2.2%), Hawaii (1.9%)
States with death rates over 2%: New Jersey (3.0%), New York (2.9%), Massachusetts(2.8%), Connecticut (2.7%), Pennsylvania (2.6%), Michigan (2.6%), Mississppi (2.2%), Louisiana (2.2%), Maryland (2.0%)
States with death rates under 1%: Utah (0.50%), Alaska (0.50%).
The Data for This Week:
Prior Data - Select from the list below
Most outrageous statement by any U.S. Politician: Governor Newsom of California said 56% of his state
would be infected. That would be about 22 million people. Three weeks after his statement, the state has 0.01% of its citizens infected
I can promise you that will not happen. So far California is a shining example to the nation with a 0.04% infection rate (April 7).
On April 7 Dr. anthony Fauci, the leading epidimeologist for the U.S. government has complemented Utah effort at social distancing,even though our infection rate is at 0.06%, somewhat above California's rate.
I was wrong that the virus does not like hot weater based on many tropical counties having small case counts. As it turns out they were just doing a great job limiting infections
Much of the U.S. opened too early at the end of May, thinking the worst was over, at that point too many people assumed it was all over and everything could return to normal. They turned out to be "dead" wrong.
Early on modelers at the University of Washington predicted 10,000 deaths for the State of Utah. Three weeks later they reduced that prediction to 2,000. As of August 16, 2020, Utah's actual death count was just 363.
As of August 23, 2020, I believe we will have an approved vaccine between November 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021. Pfizer with partner Biontech and Moderna are presently leading the race.