Utah continued it downward trend this pat week, again monotonically decreasing. Very impressive.
Where we go from here largely depends on (1) continued good behavior, (2) increased vaccinations, and (3) little influence from the SARS-CoV-2 mutationsDeaths decreased to a level that Utah should have reached two weeks ago. The reason for the prior increase is not clear.
Most Recent WeekMarch 7, 2021
While the United States reached it's best level since October, somehow several nations in Europe had unexpected significant increases in cases. This may be an issue with the new coronavirus variants. France, Italy, and Greece turned in truly scary increases. In Asia, the Philippines and South Korea both saw significant rises in case counts. In South America Brazil reported MORE CASES than the United States, no country has achieved that in months.
The countries with the most Novel Corona Virus infections (raw numbers not population adjusted)
United States 29.0 million up 398,690 but down from 465.000 in the prior week.
India 11.2 million up 219,000 and increase from the prior week.
Brazil 10.9 million up 421,000 from the prior week.
Russia claimed the 4th spot with 4.20 million up 80,500, down slightly.
United Kingdom 4.3 million 76,000 and up from the prior week.
France 4.0 million up 216,000 and up from 149,000 the prior week
Spain 3.1 million adjusted down by 39,541.
Italy 3.1 million up 142,000 and up from 116,000 the prior week
Turkey 2.8 million up 78,000 and up from 63,000 the prior week
Germany 2.5 million up 58,500 and up slightly from the prior week./li>
The U.S. averaged 57,000 new daily cases down from 66,500 new daily cases the prior week.
The U.S. infection rate is 8.81%. If there is a country with a higher rate, that country is not one that I follow.
Meanwhile, the U.S. death rate stands at 1.81%. It is the lowest of all countries outside Asia (and New Zealand) that I follow.
The states showing the highest increases compared to their history with the virus in the past week included - New York, Maine, and Vermont.
The best and worst states in the U.S.:
States with infection rates over 11%: North Dakota (13.2%), South Dakota (12.8%), Rhode Island (12.0%), Utah (11.7%), Tennessee(11.5%), Arizona (11.3%),
States with infection rates above 10%: Oklahoma (10.8%), Wisconsin(10.7%), Iowa (10.7%) [state made negative adjustments to case counts], Arkansas (10.7%), Nebraska(10.5%), Kansas (10.2%), South Carolina (10.0%)
States with infection rates under 5%: Washington 4.5%, Oregon (3.7%), Maine (3.4%) Vermont(2.6%), Hawaii (2.0%)
States with death rates over 2%: New Jersey (2.9%), New York (2.9%), Massachusetts(2.8%), Connecticut (2.7%), Pennsylvania (2.6%), Michigan (2.5%), Mississppi (2.3%), Louisiana (2.2%), Maryland (2.1%), Alabama (2.0%)
States with death rates under 1%: Alaska (0.51%), Utah (0.53%),
The Data for This Week:
Prior Data - Select from the list below
Most outrageous statement by any U.S. Politician: Governor Newsom of California said 56% of his state
would be infected. That would be about 22 million people. Three weeks after his statement, the state has 0.01% of its citizens infected
I can promise you that will not happen. So far California is a shining example to the nation with a 0.04% infection rate (April 7).
On April 7 Dr. anthony Fauci, the leading epidimeologist for the U.S. government has complemented Utah effort at social distancing,even though our infection rate is at 0.06%, somewhat above California's rate.
I was wrong that the virus does not like hot weater based on many tropical counties having small case counts. As it turns out they were just doing a great job limiting infections
Much of the U.S. opened too early at the end of May, thinking the worst was over, at that point too many people assumed it was all over and everything could return to normal. They turned out to be "dead" wrong.
Early on modelers at the University of Washington predicted 10,000 deaths for the State of Utah. Three weeks later they reduced that prediction to 2,000. As of August 16, 2020, Utah's actual death count was just 363.
As of August 23, 2020, I believe we will have an approved vaccine between November 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021. Pfizer with partner Biontech and Moderna are presently leading the race.