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The SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic - A Utah Perspective
May 16, 2021
The seven day average of new cases of Covid-19 in Utah.
The seven day average of the number of Covid-19 deaths
Data on the progress of vaccination in Utah
Most Recent Week
*** Focus on Utah ***

This week's number of new infections dropped from 369 per day to 334 per day, the largest weekly drop in over a month.

Deaths remain higher than expected based on the number of cases. Last week there were 20 deeaths versus 22 the prior week. Apparently, a significant number of Covid-19 deaths have to be certified by the state medical examiner to determine if Covid-19 was really the cause. It is apparently this delay that is holding the death rate higher than it would otherwise be.

Utah crossed one of those large round number milestones this past week with the number of fully vaccinated Utahns (18+) exceeding 1,000,000. The state's estimated population is between 3.2 and 3.3 million people. When counting only adults (18+) the fully vaccinated count now stands at 46.4%. We should exceed 50% by the end of May 2021.

The number of vaccines on hand at the end of the week was 428,906, increasing a bit more than 50,000 doses for the week Utah has not yet reduced the flow into the state so I expect this value to continue to increase weekly until such action is taken, or 12-15 yr olds are allowed to be vaccinated.

*** Focus on the United States ****

The number of cases in the United States dropped again this week to 290,534 down about 58,000 from the prior week. That's a good amount. The current target is 75,000 cases per week which would be just over 1,000 per day. At that level the chances of getting the disease become quite low.

*** Focus on the rest of the World ***

In Europe, case counts were down again across the board (except for Russia where there was an increase of 5,000 cases). France did a downward adjustment in their total case count.

The number of new cases in India, dropped by more than 1,000,000 to just over 2 million from just over 3 million. That's still a tough situation for the second most populous nation on earth behind China and number three the United States. A full lockdown may be needed to bring the count down to a manageable number.

The case count in Thailand increased from 13,524 to 16,021. Viet Nam and Taiwan were also up, but the increase in Taiwan was minimal.

Brazil continues to suffer from an elevated new case rate with 458,000 new cases last week. Their infection rate is 7.1%, Their death rate is high at 2.78%

The Data for the week ending May 16, 2021
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
ASIA                      
China 1,433,783,686 102,629 102,519 110 146 -36 0.01% 4,846 4,846 0 4.72%
India 1,366,417,754 22,662,575 19,557,457 3,105,118 2,597,285 507,833 1.66% 246,116 215,542 30,574 1.09%
Japan 126,860,301 646,821 605,150 41,671 36,566 5,105 0.51% 10,923 10,342 581 1.69%
Philippenes 108,116,615 1,108,826 1,054,983 53,843 57,460 -3,617 1.03% 18,562 17,431 1,131 1.67%
Viet Nam 96,462,106 3,444 2,942 502 99 403 0.00% 35 35 0 1.02%
Thailand 69,625,582 85,005 68,984 16,021 13,524 2,497 0.12% 421 245 176 0.50%
S. Korea 51,225,308 127,772 123,240 4,532 9,125 -4,593 0.25% 1,875 1,833 42 1.47%
Taiwan 23,773,876 1,184 1,137 47 37 10 0.00% 12 12 0 1.01%
Hong Kong 7,436,154 11,811 11,784 27 101 -74 0.16% 210 210 0 1.78%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
EUROPE                      
Russia 145,961,031 4,832,959 4,768,476 64,483 59596 4,887 3.31% 111,740 109,011 2,729 2.31%
Germany 83,517,045 3,533,980 3,425,865 108,115 143,086 -34,971 4.23% 84,844 83,215 1,629 2.40%
U.K. 67,530,172 4,435,831 4,450,578 -14,747 17,385 -32,132 6.57% 127,865 127,796 69 2.88%
France 65,129,728 5,713,393 5,838,294 -124,901 184,269 -309,170 8.77% 106,553 104,980 1,573 1.86%
Italy 60,550,075 4,111,210 4,044,762 66,448 92,543 -26,095 6.79% 122,833 121,177 1,656 2.99%
Spain 46,692,858 3,567,408 3,524,077 43,331 61,334 -18,003 7.64% 78,792 78,216 576 2.21%
Greece 10,473,455 362,004 346,422 15,582 17,856 -2,274 3.46% 11,029 10,453 576 3.05%
Sweden 10,036,379 1,007,792 973,604 34,188 37,205 -3,017 10.04% 14,173 14,048 125 1.41%
Country Population Infected Total Infected Prior Week Infected This Week Infected Prior Week Change Last vs. Prior Weeks Infection Rate Dead Total Dead Prior Week Died Week Death Rate
AMERICAS                      
U.S.A 329,064,917 32,708,028 32,417,394 290,634 358,101 -67,467 9.94% 581,756 577,010 4,746 1.78%
Canada 37,411,047 1,293,625 1,239,147 54,478 55,619 -1,141 3.46% 24,577 24,266 311 1.90%
Brazil 212,559,417 15,184,790 14,725,975 458,815 417,760 41,055 7.14% 422,340 406,437 15,903 2.78%
                       
Middle East                      
Iran 82,913,906 2,673,219 2,534,855 138,364 138,651 -287 3.22% 75,261 72,484 2,777 2.82%
Turkey 83,809,754 5,031,332 4,875,388 155,944 245,419 -89,475 6.00% 43,029 40,844 2,185 0.86%
Prior Data - Select from the list below
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